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This trade assumes that the underlying stock will NOT move down more than 42% in the next month.  If these trades are done together (as I am illustrating) it is an INCREASED risk position.  This is a Bull Put Spread (Credit Spread)

Position:

Buy QIUUA September 5 Put for          $0.35

Sell QIUUU September 7.5 Put for      $1.20

Net                                                                    $0.85

Break even for this position is OSIR trades for $6.65 ($7.50 – $0.85) on expiration.  Today OSIR is trading for $11.75.  This would be a decline of $5.10 in the next month, or 43%.  Possible, but not likely.

Maximum Loss would be $1.65/share (+ trading costs) OSIR – $5.00 or less.

Maximum Gain would be $0.85/share (- trading costs) OSIR – $7.50 or higher. 

Assuming $.15/share trading costs the gain would be $0.70 ($0.85- $.15) for a return of 28% ($0.70/$2.50) in one month, or 336% APR.

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This vertical spread trade was entered on January 17th.

SRS traded at $19.40 at the close on Friday July 17th.  Both Call options, the one bought (long) and the one sold (written), expired worthless.

We have realized our maximum loss of $3.50 (+ trading costs) or $7.80 (+ trading costs), depending on the strike prices chosen.  Our loss represents a 100% loss of the money at risk.

NOTE:  I am including this trade as a 100% loss, HOWEVER, SRS traded upto $111.22 on March 6th.  The low beteween these dates was $48.00.  IF we had placed a trailing stop order (to be explained in another post) we could have avoided this loss AND this trade would have been a WINNER of probably 75% OR BETTER.  I did not include these instructions in this trade, because I have not explained what a trailing stop is.  I would have had a trailing stop of 20% on the price of SRS (it would have been this large because of the volatility of SRS), which means that we would have exited this position when SRS was trading aroung $88.50-$89.00.

This vertical spread trade was started on March 23, 2009.

SLV traded for $13.17 at the close on Friday July 17th.  Both Puts, the one sold (written) and the one bought (long), expired worthless.

We realized the maximum gain for this trade of $0.40 (less trading costs), if we assume $0.15/share as trading costs, we have a gain of $0.25/share.  We risked $0.75/share, which makes our return on this trade 33% (0.25/0.75) for four months or approximately 100% APR.

Please note that $0.15/share trading costs assumes that only one option contract was used.  These costs go down (dramatically) if more than one option contract is used which would raise the return of this trade.

GGB Closed on Friday June 19th at $10.18.

We started this trade on January 27th

We had an update here, herehere and here.

The call that we sold has been exercised, the call the we held long was used to cover the trade.  We had a gain of $1.10 on an initial capital requirement of $4.20, including all trading costs.  This represents a 5 month gain of 26% ($1.10/$4.20) or almost 63% APR.

The Bear Put Spread is set up by buying a Higher strike Put while simultaneously selling a LOWER strike Put, both with the SAME expiration date.  The Bear Put Spread is a Debit Spread, meaning you will pay a higher price for the Put that you purchase than the price of the Put that you sell.

In order to enter this position the investor will have some beliefs.

          1)  She believes that the underlying security will stay the same or go down.  Depending on the strikes chosen, the underlying security can go up a little and this position will still make money.  That is why this position has the word Bear in the name, it has a bearish bias.

          2)  The investor understands that IF the underlying stock moves counter to the postion, in this case, up, the position can lose 100% of the money invested.  The good thing about a vertical spread, however, is that the options WILL retain some value, up until, expiration.  This means that a 100% loss can be avoided. 

Lets look at an example:

Lets assume that GE (General Electric) fits the criteria.  GE is trading for $10.78 on March 27, 2009.  I would buy an April 2009 $12 Put, for $1.55, while selling an April 2009 $11 Put, for $0.90 .  Here is the Risk/Reward graph for this position.

 

Bear Put Spread - GE

The Maximum Loss is $0.65 (+ Trading Costs), and this will occur if GE is above $12 at the expiration, April 18, 2009.

The Maximum Gain is $0.35 ($1 difference in strikes -$0.65 premium paid) (- Trading Costs), and this will occur if GE is below $11 at the expiration, April 18, 2009.

If GE is between $11 and $12 at expiration, April 18, 2009, then the gain/loss will be -$0.65 (the cost of the spread) – the price of GE + $12 (the price that you can sell (put) GE).  Therefore the breakeven point for this position is $11.35 (-$0.65 – $11.35 + $12 = $0) (not including trading costs).

This trade would be entered when GE was trading for $10.78.  This means that if GE stays the same or goes down OR goes up $0.22 (2.0%) this position will still make the maximum gain.  GE has to go up to $11.35, a gain of $0.57(or 5.3%), for this position to start to lose money. 

This position cost us $0.65/share and has an upside potential profit of $0.35/share.  That would be a 54% gain in less than 1 month.  Which is an approximate 650% APR (Annual Percentage Rate).